Opinion: Google and Motorola Mobility - love is in the air

Opinion: Google and Motorola Mobility - love is in the air

So Google and Motorola huh? And we didn't even know they were getting serious!

The announcement overnight that Google would be acquiring Motorola Mobility for US$12.5bn - the largest acquisition that Google has made to date - is truly amazing news for a number of reasons.

Firstly, and more as an aside, this was a deal that was kept impressively secret. Only the brightest of the smartphone Star Chamber seem to have had any idea what was coming up, with the rest of the world caught flatfooted and goggling at the news. It's a bit like the Big G and Moto were nodding at each other politely in the hallway, with no one realising they were planning to duck into the upstairs bathroom together as soon as the office party got swinging.

Why it's clever

Secondly, this is a very clever acquisition for Google, for all the reasons you can imagine. Remember that this is Motorola – it gave us the first GSM phone and network back in ‘91 and in 2004, much to everyone’s delight, it popped out Razr phone – a handset that very definitely helped set the stage for the smartphones of today.

Yes, the company foundered a little in the middle, but with some clever reinventions it's bounced back - and much of its recent success has been with Android, such as the Milestone (Droid to the rest of the world) and the Atrix.

So while Nokia probably could have come cheaper, Google has bought itself a company that has a solid history (at least in name - Motorola Mobility as a separate entity is a mere fledgling still plummeting from the nest) and a familiarity with the product Google is pushing. More importantly, Motorola Mobility comes with a host of smartphone based patents, something that Google desperately needed. One must have been able to see the sparks fly when they locked eyes across the room. In fact, one might even wonder if spinning off Mobility back in January wasn't the equivalent of Motorola popping on its new shirt to give Google a glimpse of the muscles it's been working on so hard at the smartphone gym recently. 

So what does all this mean for the entire smartphone landscape?

It's impossible to overestimate the importance of Google gaining this capacity for synergy across hardware and software. The biggest thing Android has suffered from has also been its greatest asset: its open source nature. This has seen the undoubtedly popular OS crop up on any number of substandard handsets and, more recently, tablets.

It's also contributed significantly to the version fragmentation that's plagued Android – and that fragmentation has been an issue for the average consumer too. While the more tech savvy may get some strange thrill from root kit updates and the like, most punters want something that just works. They don't want to worry about whether they're got Gingerbread or Honeycomb, or if their current handset has enough grunt for Ice Cream Sandwich (if they even know what that is) - they just want an iPhone. Apple has essentially become a success story by stealing the Fossil Fuels industry slogan from an ancient Simpsons episode: "stick with us and no one gets hurt".

With Motorola Mobility on board, Google has an unprecedented opportunity to match OS with hardware. A similar approach has worked for them in the past - the Nexus S and the Nexus One spring to mind - but this lets Google work across a full range of devices, including the (currently) all important tablet market. And a more suspicious mind might wonder if the close ties between Moto Mob and Motorola Solutions might not constitute a backdoor of sorts for Google to gain traction in the business space...

Who should be scared?

It's still very early to tell, although we imagine there were more than a few hastily called boardroom meetings across the offices of Nokia and Microsoft. MS has recently hoped that Nokia’s hardware expertise would give Windows Phone 7 the kick in the bum it so desperately required, but at this stage Redmond and the Finn are still fumbling at each other’s buttons in the coat room, to keep belabouring the strained metaphor. Right now, Nokia might be wondering if it headed off a little early - should it have stuck around to see who else was looking ready for a bit of fun?

Apple? Well, while this deal has to be seen in light of the fruit company's dominance of the mobile computing space, Cupertino aren't likely to be sweating bullets. Apple's seen this tango danced before - more than a few times - and it's even been asked to step out on the floor itself. And each time it's smiled politely, then headed home alone for a glass of red and some quiet time with the only person it could ever love - itself. (Although... there has been a few cracks in Apple's otherwise serene demeanour, but we'll get to around to that in a bit). 

The people who might be a little more concerned are Google's large number of other hardware partners. Larry Page was adamant that Mobility would be run very separately and it would remain business as usual for anyone currently working with the Android OS. But if this deal turns into a rampaging success, one has to wonder how long this "everyone's invited" attitude might last. When public uptake of your product is so dependent on providing the best quality device you can, Google might find itself looking at some of the cheaper phones and tablets shoehorning Android onto aging hardware and think “why are we letting them do that again?”

So far, of course, its other partners seem to be nodding along with this “we’re staying best of friends” line. HTC, Sony, LG - they're all giving the thumbs up and saying "oh, you two look so cute together, we're so glad it finally happened" - but deep down each one of them must be having a little bit of a "you bitch" moment. It's impossible to not assume that Motorola's products will benefit significantly from the deal - something that might even be considered a wee bit of an unfair advantage for the new lover, especially if you've been a previous dancing partner such as Sony or LG.

And what about the South Korean elephant in the room: Samsung. Google liked Sammy enough to work with them on the aforementioned Nexus S (and even on its Chromebooks) but they apparently didn't like them enough to put a ring on it. It could be that Samsung's legal stoush with Apple over its Galaxy Tab 10.1 put a sour note on the relationship, but it must be assumed that the wheels bringing Moto and Google together were in motion long before Apple delivered its infringement smackdown. Could it be that Samsung's business as a manufacturer supplying parts to anyone who needs it (including the much vaunted A5 chips for the Apple iPad 2, oddly enough) wasn't quite what Google was looking for? It's hard to guess, but Samsung must be looking down at its party shoes and feeling a little "all dressed up and nowhere to go" at this junction.

Where to from here?

Where Google goes from here is anyone's guess. While many pundits see this as the company's first step on the way to being the next Apple - "our software on our hardware and nowhere else" - it's hard to imagine it abandoning so many lucrative and high performing partners. It's far more likely that we'll see MotoGoog devices as the flagships – earlier releases and the pick of the newest OS iterations – with everyone else free to come to the table over the cake that has already been cut. 

Whatever it turns out to bring, Google acquiring Motorola Mobility is one of the most significant deals we've seen in the mobile computing space for some time - riding along with these two lovebirds is going to make for a very interesting experience. 

Add your opinion below.

Source: Copyright © PC & Tech Authority. All rights reserved.

See more about:  opinion  |  smartphone  |  apple  |  google  |  android  |  motorola
 
 

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Comments: 29
amcmo
16 August 2011
Beat you to it Nick, by several hours in a much shorter, but similar thoughts response to the news.

I do believe that this set's Google up as the second Apple, and gives Samsung, HTC etc a royal kick in the nuts so to speak.

The Nexus phones were close but no cigar, so they will have to invest in some better design resources and a better crystal ball, hwoever it's stacking up...

With the swag of patents behind them, provided Google get the products right, (sorry, don't agree with your view of Moto's current crop, workable, but there's no iPhone or iPad there at the moment.) they are head on with Apple and that will be a fight worth buying tickets to.


Comment made about the PC & Tech Authority article:
Opinion: Google and Motorola Mobility - love is in the air?
So Google and Motorola huh? And we didn't even know they were getting serious!

What do you think? Join the discussion.
amcmo
16 August 2011
Just an additional thought, should Samsung, HTC and (Nokia) be racing to the bin to drag the MeeGo code out before it gets shredded? Win7 looks an even poorer option than before.
photohounds
16 August 2011
Google's smart enought to know it needs partners - isn't it? Is there sufficient benefit to attack allies when you are already licensing code 'n' apps via their hardware?

The market dominance in the mobile space that 'big' linux never achieved probably cannot be maintained alone as not everyone likes the Big G (a good thing IMO).

The other maker's products DO provide a point of differentiation which forms part of the key to sewing half the smartphone market in such a short time. No?
nevobrien
16 August 2011
The technology aside, what a delightful piece of journalism! Congratulations!
amcmo
16 August 2011
Big business 101.

If you have the ability to dominate, or at least significantly share a market (usually no 1 or 2, sometimes no 3 in a market), you do it on your own and keep the profits in house. You only share when you need to break a dominant player while starting from a very low base, which is exactly how Google started wth Android.

Google now have the OS that is accepted in the market equally as often as IOS. They now have a large manufacturing capability (interesting thought - do Moto mobile do their own mfg, or is it subbed within another Moto group) that has the ability to ramp to Apple levels. They have purchased a brand name that still has enough following to rebuild with the right combo of OS and hardware.

I'd say Samsung and other's are on a hiding to nothing here. My bet is Google will either reduce their ability to compete head on with Moto, or shaft them entirely. Simple capitalism at work, and Google have shown themselves to be up there with the best when it comes to wanting world - sorry, market dominance.

Conspiracy theory at work here... Have Google had this end game in mind for some time. Release Android as Open Source to build it's acceptance in the market as an OS. Once critical mass is achieved, buy a struggling phone manufacturer with enough market acceptance to rebuild (options, Moto/Nokia/RIM/Palm. Beaten by HP for Palm, Nokia got into bed with MS, RIM's capalisation is beyond the value of it's struggling OS and poor phones, guess that leaves Moto, (An Android licencee, who had been talking about developing their own OS) who have a strong brand image, especially in the US. Final step, bringing the OS back in house and making new versions a closed source.....

I'm taking bets!

Edited by amcmo: 16/8/2011 02:28:32 PM

Edited by amcmo: 16/8/2011 02:31:41 PM
photohounds
16 August 2011
AM you may well be on the money, and I hope you're not :) Remember that JVC could have done the same thing with VHS, but chose to leave itm open even after beta was butchered in the consumer market.

Different world today, maybe, but companies forming a cartel with someone (MS for instance) against the Big G. wouldn't help them long term?

Interesting to watch it unfold over 2012, punting from the sidelines ...
amcmo
16 August 2011
I should add that Apple are the perfect example that if you have a 'game changer' you can launch from the sidelines and provided your competition indulge in a little navel gazing, get the critical mass before they react.

By the time anyone realized Apple had a winner, the public only wanted one thing - an iPhone.

Of course with Android and the massed licensees, Google have managed to get their own critical mass while everyone else but Apple dropped the ball big time.
tjones
16 August 2011
Tnis unfair on Google and open source in general. All parties have free access to the Android code and are able to add their own customisation to the interface,HTC has excelled at this.

Google will look for a ROI but you can bet this will come from the growth of Android devices linking google applications, The more innovation the better.
photohounds
16 August 2011
I think Nokia (not very recently) sold quite a few smartphones, so the public most definitely wanted more than 'one product'.
amcmo
16 August 2011
Here Nick,

Another take on your opinion piece using data I've come up with today. I believe you've missed the importance of this development.

Some from SEC, other news sites.

Google have paid a huge premium on Motorola's cap. The $12.5Bn is amost impossible to justify by any logic and reeks of desperation.

They are swearing they are not using Moto to compete with their licencees, just after the patents (to defend Android from the evils of MS and Apple).

The patents are next to useless for defending Android licencees from the likes of Apple, being mainly radio patents that are already licensed and have little bearing on the OS which is where Android licencees are copping it, and Google are declining to defend them.

The patents will not help in Google's fight with Oracle, that's all about the OS and nothing in Moto's bag helps there.

Regardless of what Google say, they are now a handset manufacturer. They can make all the noise they like, however remember Nokia, when they grabbed Symbian were in the same boat and there was a distinct cooling in enthusiasm by other handset manufacturers, despite all the Nokia said about it being open source and a level playing field. OK there were some structural issues with Symbian, however the example applies.

They have purchased a company that has a history of stuffing things up. My contact with Moto goes back to the Semi days with 6800, 6809 and 68000, and it's littered with stuff-ups in every division. The phone division had a couple of bright spots, however there were a majority of pretty ordinary efforts. They have been bleeding market share and $ with every sign of continuing to do so.

Google's choices are pretty stark. Write off the investment and use the patents to bully a few minor players to pay royalties where possible (slim pickings), or bet the business on turning Moto back into a world class phone manufacturer, going head to head with it's licencees. Either way $12.5Bn is a huge gamble, with not the greatest chance of a payday.

I cannot see them competing head on with the likes of Samsung on a level playing field, which leaves one to believe all they can do is to do the dirty on the licencees and give Moto a head start on Android revisions, tighten the licensing to slow the likes of Samsung down, or even worse, just ditch them and hope to gain sufficient market share before the licencees can come out with their own OS phones, or jump wholesale to MS or (WebOS, if HP decide to licence). If they do not do this, they have spent $12.5Bn to achieve what?

The more you look at it, one can only come to the conclusion that Google want to be the next Apple, owning the whole phone/tablet OS/Hardware/Marketplace experience. They have a veritable stable to hose out at Moto before getting anything moving. They then have to come out with Category Killer phones/tablets, meanwhile fighting disgruntled Android fans who may choose to jump to anyone offering alternatives.

Sorry, Android fans, I don't think this purchase is the answer to a maiden's prayer that many hope it to be. I think the maiden is about to get royally screwed.


Edited by amcmo: 16/8/2011 04:30:13 PM
foff
16 August 2011
An interesting article but did we really deserve all the hip talk?
photohounds
16 August 2011
I think the Big G is a little smarter than some here may think. While MS was off buying Skype, "G" was looking at synergising (is that a word?) hardware and software to give Android a boost. One it does not really need in phones, but could certainly use in tablets.

Folks who are told "you can't have xyz", historically have flocked TO that product, so Big A's anti-competitive shenanigans may have the reverse effect to the one intended.

Case in point from the the days of CD dominance:
One way to increase sales was that little sticker "parental advisory - explicit lyrics" - people bought just because some moron said "you shouldn't like this" - a backlash and supporting the underdog - this had some effect getting Apple back in the game, but we can't divert the credit, can we?

Different industry/era, same principle. "Eighties Apple" returns ...
amcmo
16 August 2011
Photo, Fine in theory, however one of the basic rules is don't compete with your customers.

That's one of the reasons why Symbian lost traction, because it was seen as owned by the competitor, despite being open source.

Synergy is all well and good, however you don't spend 12.5Bn to help your competitors, which is what Samsung, LG, etc now are, to do even better in the market.

Google showed a lack of smarts with some of their bids in the Nortel buy (pi), smacks of young nerds in control of the funny farm.

Your continued irrational focus on 'Apple anti-competitive' is just that irrational. Apple are not being anti-competitive, just fighting to maintain what they see as their competitive advantage. Android owns more of the overall market than Apple, which makes Apple the underdog doesn't it:d You continue to focus on trying to prove that Apple does not innovate, with, from your statements, apparently no knowledge of semiconductor development, electronic design and firmware development.

To get back to the actual subject at hand. Google is a major company with one focus, to maximise profit (nothing wrong with that). They are not and do not act like a charity, so the wishes of Open Source fans will hold little sway in their commercial decisions.

Much as you may hope Google's aquisition just makes Android and the licencees stronger, Google have spent $12.5Bn and will expect a return on that investment. They are certainly not about to maximise synergy of OS and Tablet to the benefit of Samsung etc. Any such work will be for the exclusive benefit of Google/Moto.

$12.5Bn to make Samsung etc stronger - a criminal waste of money. $12.5Bn buying a struggling phone manufacturer, even that beggars belief.

I stand by my previous post. I believe Google have paid far too much for a questionable asset. I also believe that Open source Android will suffer. I would wish it not to be the case. Android has benefitted phone customers with additional choice, however I am concerned that Google's aquisition will reduce choice in the long run.
photohounds
16 August 2011
Irrational, eh?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CW0DUg63lqU

Ooh look, the beginnings of ipads - Apple the copy artist and self-described thief.
http://www.engadget.com/2006/03/09/samsung-digital-picture-frame-stores-pics-movies-music/

The only 'invention' is their law case - here's the smoking gun.
http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9219189/Apple_s_evidence_may_be_flawed_in_European_Samsung_case?taxonomyId=144&pageNumber=1
If you HAVE a case you don't need to falsify evidence. If you have no real case, you use dirty (and illegal) tricks.

Any concern for how much the Big A are attempting to reduce CHOICE with underhanded tricks and revisionist BS?



Edited by photohounds: 16/8/2011 10:31:36 PM
amcmo
17 August 2011
Photohounds, you use links that prove nothing.

I'm not going to bother responding as I and others have consistently shot down your arguments, yet you continue to bring them back u.

This thread is about the Google purchase of Motorola.

Nothing you have brought up changes the fact that Google have spent $12.5Bn to puchase Moto. To get any return on that ivestment, there will be a negative impact on other Android licencee's. There can be no other outcome, no matter how much you wish against reality.

BTW, did you know Google in is breach of the GPL? If they start to gain any market and profits form this questionable investment, how long before they are sued on that?
amcmo
17 August 2011
I've picked up Photo's disease. - An unexplained need to post links.:d Hopefully this one at least has some relevance to the thread.

http://www.roughlydrafted.com/2011/08/16/googles-acquisition-of-motorola-set-to-doom-android-chrome-os/

While this guy is obviously pro-Apple, he raises many valid points.

Despite his Apple leaning, I believe the outcomes suggested may well come to pass.

Interesting point from the above link. After spending so much time slagging H264, Google is now one of the patent holders. Wonder where they go from here on that front?
photohounds
17 August 2011
To repeat: Any concern for how much the Big A are attempting to reduce CHOICE with underhanded tricks and revisionist BS? I can't see any.

Google's misdeeds do NOT let others off the hook - "they did it so I can do it too" is the sort of "legal argument" that one hears in the playground. Read the piece. He makes some semi-valid points, but much of the reasoning can be attributed to apple fanboy wishful thinking.

NO doubt that Google now have even more humble pie to eat on quite a few issues issues.

Your Prophet? Gee this bloke must be smarter than Google - they should hire him to rescue the company from certain disaster. Or maybe he could teach the Big A how to remain factual in court submissions?

Nah, he'd be fired. So what is he good for? The vitriol has me resisting the temptation to click his PayPal 'donate' button - ooh yeah! Perhaps Apple should donate - you just can't BUY trashy advertorial like that any more ;)
amcmo
17 August 2011
Photo.

Can you not get past the fact that Apple (or anyone else) are entitled to sue if they feel that other's are infringing. You have no RIGHT to choice if that choice is at the expense of anyone else’s rights(patents). The world does not owe you choice. If Apple (and soon Google?) choose to have closed systems that is their choice – go play with Linux.

We have only you (and some other Android fans) claiming revisionist BS and underhand tricks.

Again. As for Apple remaining factual in court submissions, thus far we only have a number of Android fans screaming foul, while Samsung (as far as I can see) are remaining silent.

I do not know (neither do you) how this will end up, however squealing endlessly about 'choices' does not make your side of the argument right.

You rubbish the guy, however from a strictly business point of view (and I am a business person after all)he makes some valid points. Again, while you might not like it, the fact you don't like it doesn't change it to 'Apple Fanboy wishful thinking’

Apart from all that, there are a good number of independent commentators coming to similar conclusions.



Edited by amcmo: 17/8/2011 01:51:19 PM
rubaiyat
17 August 2011
Go build your own photohounds.

You've seen how it is done, so now it should be easy.

Just claim that you thought of it first, in your own personal time warp.
photohounds
17 August 2011
Most people would prefer to ignore what's happening. Like Martin Neimoller - until it is to late.
While I did understand and agree with some of his points, the slant is definitely there.

I'm not in the time warp, the Big A is - they are blind to prior art.
amcmo
17 August 2011
](*,)
amcmo
18 August 2011
Another op-ed yesterday suggested that at very least Samsung/LG will be seriously looking at updating their internal platforms, plus they and HTC will most likely bring out more Win phones over the next year just to spread their bets/cover their arses.

Should make the WinPhone fans happy (does such a beast exist?)
dr_nic
18 August 2011
@macmo

I think the big draw for WinPho will be WinPho8 and how it integrates with Windows 8. If they manage to create a scalable OS that can work across multiple hardware interface systems then that's an instant hit.
amcmo
18 August 2011
Have to confess I've not taken any notice of Winpho in the last couple of years.

Being a Win user, but bitten by a number of differnt ones over the years (have 3 of various ages in a drawer somewhere).

MS never seemed to really get near right, so gave up and became a Nokia convert. Now they've dropped the balls.
rubaiyat
18 August 2011
I repeat myself, IF everyone has got there first, BEFORE Apple, how come they take so long to come up with something to try and beat Apple?

This must be one of the eternal unfathomable mysteries of the universe to you photo.

We are all bemused at watching you go into your mental loop.

Time after time.

Again and again.

Around and around.
Slatts
18 August 2011
rubaiyat wrote:
I repeat myself


Oh really?:-k




Sorry, couldn't resist.:p
amcmo
19 August 2011
Latest report from Korea.

Apparently publicly confirmed that the head of Samsung has instructed development staff to go full speed on Bada plus are also on the acquisition trail.

Problem they have is, if they go full Bada and de-emphasise Android, there have been (apparently) rather unsubtle threats from Google that they will sue any partner who tries to escape and compete with in-house platforms..

An acquisition with patents would assist in defending against such a threat.

Seems Android partners are getting rather restless and concerned about direction.

Theories abound that, as Google have taken Honeycomb off Open Source a while back, that another option to Android handset manufacturers if Google don’t support them as equals is to fork Android away from Google (per the Grid tablet).

Still leaves the issue of Java licences, however I guess they could all licence Java for their fork just as Apple & MS have with their O/S's.


Edited by amcmo: 19/8/2011 03:32:07 PM
amcmo
15 September 2011
Just an update on this.

Aparently Google offered $37 per share, then put in an unsolicited bid of $40 against themselves, despite Moto advising they were not talking to anyone else.

Talk about dumb arse!

Despite all the talk of buying Moto as a defensive strategy for all Android mfrs, seems Google has changed it's mind. Instead of licensing the patents to all, they have sold some to HTC to assist them in attacking Apple with patent suits. Fits with HTC's previous purchase of S3 and immediate suit against Apple.

To all the Android fanatics (and one in particular) who constantly accuse Apple of stifling innovation by suing Android MFRs for patent infringment, why not a peep about HTC agressively attacking Apple (with Google connivence).

Not even a demand for licence fees from HTC, just straight to a suit.

But then Apple is evil, and Android is good.... B/S!

Edited by amcmo: 15/9/2011 10:15:51 AM
rubaiyat
15 September 2011
photohounds wrote:
I'm not in the time warp, the Big A is - they are blind to prior art.


How are you on the Moon Landings? Done the studio tours?
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